War in Ukraine

I am no pundit of geopolitical events, world economy or politics. This article is written purely from what I saw on TV and gathered from the internet. The war in Ukraine has made me so angry and helpless that I was forced to write this piece to give an outlet to my emotions.

Please read this nice article first.

It is customary in writing about the invasion of Ukraine to start by expressing sorrow at the plight of the Ukrainian people. I will skip that in my post. Primarily because they have brought it onto themselves. They have consistently provoked Russia at the behest of the West, knowing fully well the consequences, not just the government, but the people.

• They have deposed an elected government in collaboration with the far right movement, which is openly Nazi, inluding their emblem.
• They now have a real Nazi militia, The Azov Battalion, fully supported by the govermnet, that commits war crimes in the Donbas region.
• They have slaughtered 14000 Russian speaking people, burying them in mass graves.
• They have elected successively radical leaders that suppressed the rights of the Russian speaking people, banned Russian language, even though 30% of Ukrainains has Russian as their mother tongue.
• They sent 7000 troops to invade Iraq, during Terrorist Bush’s Iraq-Oil-Grab war.
• Even now, when their country is half destroyed, millions of people fleeing their home, I did not see a single Ukrainian speaking about settlement, negotiation or peace. Only talk is about more sanctions, more weapons, more war against Russia.

Well if war is what you want, then why complain? You got what you want. Fight it. We are not going to fight it for you. If any country ever deserved war, it is Ukraine.

The less we speak about the west and their media, the better. Even since the crisis started, neither Biden nor Borris, even spoke of negotiation or peace. They only spoke about how to destroy Russia. That is their objective all along. So that they get a free hand to exploit the world, conquer Venezuela for example. For west Ukraine is a sacrificial lamb, to be sacrificed on the altar of their global domination. They baited Ukraine to provoke Russia into a bloody war. Now they are using civilian dead bodies to shore up support in their own country to wage proxy war. BBC and other media always have photos of a child refugee on their front page. Again no discussion about negotiated settlement. Just channelling the outpouring of common peoples emotions to war hysteria. This is nothing short of media terrorism. But who is at fault here for this deception of the west? Ukraine. Only three months ago they saw what America did to Afghanistan. They just cut loose and disappeared in a week, leaving the Afghans and all their “allies' ' Including India in the lurch. Poor India invested 3,000,000,000 there to promote “Freedom and Democracy” for America. Over night all that gone to Taliban to be used to bomb India. And still, Ukraine did not learn.

Now this article is not about how the war started. This is about my wishful thinking about what will be the outcome of the war. My hope is that Russia and China and the rest of the world, including India, that has been suffering from exploitation, death and destruction from the west for the last 400 years will benefit from this war.

Again I admit freely that I know nothing about economics and war and geopolitics. I am just an angry spectator from a third world country. This is my wishful thinking.

• Russia will put a stop to NATO expansion and subdue Ukraine for good. NATO will now get the point. They simply cannot overpower Russia. Not until there is a determined leader in Russia like President Putin. And at some point some of the less jingoistic European members will demand that NATO comes to terms with Russia. Europe needs Russia as much Russia needs Europe. I mean, how long can you ban Dostoevsky.
• The Russian economy will emerge stronger. It will diversify from it’s heavy reliance on energy export to other sectors like manufacturing etc.
• Russia and China will develop alternate currencies to challenge the dollar. This is the doomsday for America. For decades America waged war against Libya, Iraq even used threats against its closest allies who had challenged the dollar. Not this time.
• Russia and China will create alternate payment and clearing systems. This will challenge SWIFT, Mastercadr and Visa. I think India should pitch in with UPI.
• The Russian army will gain crucial combat experience. Other than minor skirmishes in Chechnya and Ossetia, the Russian army has not fought a war for a long time. Whereas America is constantly fighting wars all over the world. This puts the Russian army at a disadvantage. Same thing happened between India and China. Because India fights a constant proxy war with Pakistan, our soldiers are battle ready. So they could give a befitting reply to the Chinese army during the Galwan conflict.

As for India, so far we have done the right thing by staying neutral in this conflict. We should take care of our interests. But I fear that BJP is pro western and they may cave in to American pressure. If that happens, that will be bad for us. Hope we have not forgotten our lessons from Afghanistan.

This article is written in extreme haste. Please ignore any mistakes.

Update 9 March: After posting this article, I was a bit uncomfortable about why I was defending an aggressor. Have I misgudged in my naive affinity to Russia. Then I came across this article. So I am not alone thinking in this line.